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HR Newsletter #109 August 2017 (Pay Forecasts)

Employment Update

The CIPD have published their annual report into trends in labour market and pay.  The “go-to” section that all employers are interested in is their prediction for future pay increases: (a) Predicted annual pay awards by sector   (b) Employers predict their own Company pay awards for the year

The key metrics on pay outlook from the report are:

1.  Pay prediction by sector Public             1% Private           2% Voluntary       1% Average        1.4%   2. Average prediction of future pay increase 34% of employers predict a   1 - 1.99% pay rise this year 22% of employers predict a   2 - 2.99% pay rise this year Full weighted average (predictions for all employers) – 1.7% pay increase this year   3. National statistics for comparison RPI (Jul’17) - 3.6% CPI (Jul’17) - 2.6% The full set of labour market forecasts for spring 2017 are available here